Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 10.697587 12.574167 14.631181 17.046402 19.797239 22.825311 26.403104
2025-04-13 6.960075 9.323071 12.204501 15.943144 20.628445 26.265957 33.517847
2025-04-20 5.561675 8.248686 11.803793 16.772673 23.446044 31.996109 43.658547
2025-04-27 4.718943 7.622187 11.731092 17.829544 26.480839 38.118497 54.718465
2025-05-04 3.939018 6.881869 11.309560 18.242502 28.560501 43.035512 64.483008
2025-05-11 3.240937 6.103623 10.666942 18.176420 29.853004 46.866030 72.942804
2025-05-18 2.644742 5.358953 9.933259 17.823948 30.605742 49.890737 80.377880
2025-05-25 2.167822 4.717193 9.250233 17.426928 31.188624 52.632904 87.506310
2025-06-01 1.782771 4.161105 8.616159 17.003437 31.639525 55.144857 94.385292
2025-06-08 1.411133 3.547858 7.774764 16.091749 31.150055 56.080181 98.803824
2025-06-15 1.286630 3.424022 7.830315 16.790702 33.461172 61.680788 110.969688
2025-06-22 1.149009 3.241416 7.739593 17.194696 35.268073 66.541416 122.192052
2025-06-29 0.930232 2.835744 7.163980 16.660884 35.455224 68.896170 129.821196
2025-07-06 0.720430 2.396823 6.444953 15.754597 34.882483 69.947895 135.447827
2025-07-13 0.660420 2.337803 6.565710 16.609622 37.781728 77.386786 152.618930
2025-07-20 0.617683 2.316142 6.769066 17.664269 41.167123 85.934113 172.251658
2025-07-27 0.546091 2.187899 6.689395 18.075172 43.276745 92.250226 188.245818
2025-08-03 0.463616 1.998897 6.419664 18.009839 44.380885 96.729394 201.141446
2025-08-10 0.383651 1.789664 6.053677 17.660195 44.832509 99.963224 211.894477
2025-08-17 0.315821 1.597282 5.692844 17.266329 45.135996 102.906376 222.244836
2025-08-24 0.258852 1.422392 5.343552 16.846207 45.327470 105.618861 232.283949
2025-08-31 0.200368 1.213099 4.840461 15.941808 44.301380 105.754621 237.291694
2025-09-07 0.185577 1.190885 4.923869 16.635168 47.099517 114.008083 258.761072